Music · resolved market
Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05742a26f8a1f176b3fb49e85ca0a61b85be1398f127081b9bff1c7b8b054c11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x900d…2961backed Yes | 72c | 3,813$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 77c | 3,001$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 69c | 2,847$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 32c | 2,429$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 24c | 2,407$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.86 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 68c | 1,974$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 30c | 1,751$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Yes | 72c | 1,537$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 70c | 1,375$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1a…1011backed Yes | 79c | 994.83$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 68c | 950$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 30c | 943.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 32c | 923$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 72c | 918.01$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 21c | 867$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…656cbacked Yes | 72c | 822.06$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 78c | 771.01$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 35c | 687.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 149 | 38.9%58 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 23c | 654.02$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.18 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2c…2d47backed No | 32c | 622.86$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2281…c6c4backed Yes | 67c | 594.34$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…a9a9backed No | 25c | 486$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 30cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 28c | 479.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 68c | 406.94$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 69c | 380.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 73c | 289.46$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 7c | 245.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 30c | 243$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…f1dbbacked No | 34c | 242.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 31c | 239.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…6f7bbacked Yes | 62c | 224.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d6…9ab8backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 18c | 196$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked No | 34c | 190.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +104%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 64c | 179.42$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…a224backed No | 26c | 154$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 70c | 150.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0021backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…e94fbacked Yes | 76c | 145$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ad…272abacked Yes | 74c | 139$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb3…ad95backed Yes | 65c | 134.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -72%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…67a7backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed No | 27c | 131$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +127%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…9b0dbacked Yes | 77c | 130.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Yes | 78c | 129.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…2d90backed Yes | 79c | 126.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea46…0200backed Yes | 69c | 126.09$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…afecbacked No | 27c | 126$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…e74cbacked Yes | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc7…011fbacked Yes | 66c | 124.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…8e54backed No | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…f17abacked Yes | 66c | 103$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…ba67backed Yes | 72c | 102.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 65c | 102$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…f3d9backed No | 34c | 100.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…7efbbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 70c | 99.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd28…024ebacked No | 34c | 98.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…d3bbbacked No | 34c | 97.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…963dbacked No | 35c | 96.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…ba40backed Yes | 68c | 93.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccd…d5b0backed No | 34c | 91.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 58c | 91.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…1a52backed No | 34c | 91.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…3022backed No | 34c | 90.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…57fabacked Yes | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…7189backed No | 34c | 88.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…b983backed No | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…48e1backed Yes | 66c | 85.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…a5b6backed No | 34c | 81.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Yes | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…8936backed No | 34c | 77.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 71c | 77.27$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…394dbacked Yes | 66c | 74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4c…3486backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d5…5945backed Yes | 66c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0007…434ebacked Yes | 72c | 69.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b6…39fbbacked No | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…e747backed Yes | 73c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…a128backed Yes | 66c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed Yes | 74c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f75…df23backed No | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…a995backed No | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…78a6backed Yes | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255b…292abacked No | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 67c | 62.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…a100backed Yes | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…c0f1backed No | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb2…7b06backed No | 33c | 58.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…9a01backed Yes | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 67c | 50.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chappell Roan win Best New Artist?this page
- Will Benson Boone win Best New Artist?No won
- Will Doechii win Best New Artist?No won
- Will Khruangbin win Best New Artist?No won
- Will Raye win Best New Artist?No won
- Will Sabrina Carpenter win Best New Artist?No won
- Will Shaboozey win Best New Artist?No won
- Will Teddy Swims win Best New Artist?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.