Chess · resolved market
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce40b5df7e2237016777034d24da4b0b1d506bfde90328d686e8e5d265108684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 30c | 8,359$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.02 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 13c | 3,300$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…2040backed Yes | 50c | 2,448$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 27c | 2,005$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.13 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 41c | 2,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 36c | 1,917$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 30c | 1,729$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,522$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.09 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 18c | 1,140$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 13c | 818.81$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…deabbacked Yes | 33c | 707.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 30c | 686.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 71c | 607.62$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 581.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 13c | 559.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 27c | 480.73$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed No | 77c | 442.2$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…6856backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 10c | 386.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 21c | 380.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…f033backed Yes | 31c | 340$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 16c | 310.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 7c | 296.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 19c | 291$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…037cbacked Yes | 32c | 277.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 37c | 272.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 15c | 272$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed No | 72c | 261.08$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked No | 70c | 261.03$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Yes | 18c | 260$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…832abacked Yes | 49c | 252.12$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…8637backed Yes | 10c | 250.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…8b4ebacked No | 40c | 233.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes | 13c | 232.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 8c | 228.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 18c | 223.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…dee6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 71c | 166$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 62c | 161.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…980bbacked Yes | 19c | 155.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e9b3backed Yes | 63c | 145.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…4ce4backed Yes | 30c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed Yes | 12c | 132.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…de5dbacked Yes | 11c | 129.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 127.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 16c | 121.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 18c | 102$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 75c | 102$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712c…de39backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…b499backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…8368backed Yes | 61c | 96.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…8ea3backed Yes | 11c | 96.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c4…1478backed Yes | 59c | 84.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…3381backed Yes | 63c | 84.31$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…189abacked Yes | 64c | 81.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.9wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e440backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…6eadbacked Yes | 32c | 76.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4a…13a9backed Yes | 15c | 73.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f63…e7cebacked Yes | 28c | 71.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d23…e530backed Yes | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…184fbacked Yes | 58c | 50.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…e581backed Yes | 64c | 49.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…f9eebacked Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…1d3ebacked Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…54e8backed Yes | 64c | 43.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…2901backed No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…a43dbacked No | 40c | 41.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…ea91backed No | 40c | 40.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabb…93eabacked Yes | 63c | 39.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…ed0cbacked No | 42c | 39.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…decfbacked No | 35c | 39.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34df…47f6backed Yes | 61c | 37.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…f38ebacked Yes | 63c | 37.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…7714backed Yes | 32c | 37.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…12ffbacked No | 39c | 36.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…9ba3backed No | 40c | 36.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…20bfbacked Yes | 67c | 36.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…4036backed Yes | 61c | 35.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2306…bec3backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…70b9backed No | 37c | 34.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…cb5abacked No | 37c | 33.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…0068backed No | 38c | 32.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…b94abacked Yes | 61c | 31.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ceb…d155backed Yes | 63c | 31.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c7…4411backed No | 37c | 31.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d60…488abacked Yes | 64c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed No | 35c | 30.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…4b83backed Yes | 64c | 30.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…c291backed No | 36c | 30.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a9…f16cbacked No | 38c | 30.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?Yes won
- Will Viswanathan Anand win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.