Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43acbd862531ee9f0e853a0dfd1ae3af4ac157bc626eeb90b9fc5548b61017ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 46c | 5,447$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.85 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 48c | 4,119$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 62c | 3,863$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.01 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.05 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 30c | 2,768$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 40c | 2,572$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ec…f502backed Yes | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 36c | 1,958$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 63c | 1,617$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yes | 47c | 1,589$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1975…f07bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,429$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 44c | 1,417$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 54c | 1,416$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.37 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…2b99backed Yes | 37c | 1,403$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 56c | 1,337$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -42%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 64c | 1,258$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 1,200$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 45c | 1,101$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 45c | 1,100$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked No | 56c | 1,062$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.76 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…31a2backed No | 58c | 995.62$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5,506%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 45c | 942.86$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 61c | 919.82$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 26c | 913.65$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 31c | 748.29$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yes | 54c | 737.26$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed No | 59c | 711.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 41c | 705.75$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 53c | 692.04$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.26 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes | 47c | 685.08$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59f…cd73backed Yes | 42c | 655.3$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 47c | 642.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 57c | 641.71$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321a…b052backed Yes | 63c | 584.44$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Yes | 50c | 559.62$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb39…c696backed Yes | 15c | 555.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 50c | 548$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999e…b3a6backed Yes | 49c | 532.27$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 18c | 521.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 55c | 479.48$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…ca61backed Yes | 39c | 476.24$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…19bbbacked Yes | 62c | 444$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…6eadbacked Yes | 47c | 438.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 56c | 431.16$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 50c | 420.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc725…34e7backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…4b51backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…caf9backed Yes | 38c | 396.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed No | 71c | 365.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…5120backed Yes | 48c | 363.02$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…8eb5backed No | 43c | 348.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 45c | 342.35$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…6ad1backed No | 38c | 342$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 44c | 295.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 34c | 294.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked Yes | 54c | 278.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 45c | 270$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yes | 45c | 265$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 42c | 264.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 250.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -10.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 38c | 245.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 41c | 241.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…d1c9backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8e…62bebacked No | 42c | 237.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 55c | 235.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…d428backed Yes | 48c | 222.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Yes | 45c | 221.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…33c1backed Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed Yes | 46c | 215.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed No | 67c | 203.51$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…832abacked No | 74c | 200.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373c…05e9backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ee…cf2cbacked Yes | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…b407backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed Yes | 57c | 198.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 48c | 190.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…5becbacked No | 54c | 184.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…47e7backed No | 55c | 182.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…1aacbacked Yes | 48c | 181.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Yes | 36c | 179.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…f5cbbacked Yes | 51c | 177.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…eff7backed Yes | 50c | 169.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc64…1cacbacked Yes | 51c | 168.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…5203backed Yes | 62c | 168.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…e45cbacked Yes | 47c | 166.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…c3f5backed Yes | 60c | 166.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fa…fb9fbacked No | 54c | 164.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…34dcbacked No | 54c | 164.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb33c…7f1ebacked No | 52c | 163.64$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cc…b944backed No | 50c | 163.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed Yes | 31c | 163.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…184fbacked No | 59c | 163.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…5832backed Yes | 48c | 162.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked No | 50c | 161.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?Yes won
- Will Viswanathan Anand win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.