Chess · resolved market
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd87642197a34493e367a585f3f70948c2d76337c559c4b2cf2d87fa1a82962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 10c | 2,541$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 14c | 2,201$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,942$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,700$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.13 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…bcc3backed Yes | 29c | 1,360$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,187$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 21c | 679.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 8c | 650.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 17c | 604.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…3a31backed Yes | 10c | 599.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d83…f3e9backed Yes | 11c | 580.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c0…deabbacked Yes | 27c | 532.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 11c | 457.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 15c | 433.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 13c | 302.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 30c | 280.5$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 21c | 277.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked No | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Yes | 11c | 225.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 7c | 207.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 13c | 199.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 11c | 195$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…4ce4backed Yes | 24c | 155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 14c | 121.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e440backed Yes | 17c | 116.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…39e1backed Yes | 22c | 104$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed Yes | 28c | 84.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f1…efe2backed Yes | 24c | 80.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed Yes | 16c | 64.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…0cb9backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…184fbacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?Yes won
- Will Viswanathan Anand win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.