TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Chess · resolved market

Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,023 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Chess
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes9c2,988$279 inLost-$278.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-65.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes9c2,371$210 inLost-$210.422412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-78%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes9c2,314$217 inLost-$217.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost-$80147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-86.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ed…c087backed Yes7c771$54 inLost-$53.975435.2%19 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-38%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes9c666.91$60 inLost-$60.456713.4%9 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x920d…0da5backed Yes10c611.6$61 inLost-$61.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb810…b043backed Yes12c578.53$68 inLost-$68.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca7…31a2backed Yes6c460.2$27 inLost-$26.61833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+5,506%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…012bbacked Yes7c328.57$23 inLost-$232729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes7c185$13 inLost-$12.956820.6%14 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f2…b499backed Yes11c101.81$11 inLost-$11520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc352…74f9backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bd…0de3backed Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.