Chess · resolved market
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20f1f6eda4569967806c4b39e5baa2abf6fda1f7198e1da79297e75f59926a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 52c | 10,702$5,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.42 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 60c | 9,391$5,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,592.19 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 37c | 4,331$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 22c | 3,351$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.51 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…7ab2backed Yes | 44c | 1,611$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,384$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.14 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 74c | 1,176$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 45c | 1,029$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…31a2backed No | 71c | 988$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5,506%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 29c | 893$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.19 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 79c | 795$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 3c | 652.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +285.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 63c | 611.81$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed Yes | 46c | 595.87$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Yes | 77c | 583.52$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 73c | 572.75$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed Yes | 43c | 461.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -42%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…4ce4backed Yes | 19c | 448.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…de11backed Yes | 71c | 434.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 9c | 405.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 16c | 369.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…184bbacked Yes | 28c | 356.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35d…7918backed Yes | 71c | 350.83$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 3c | 342.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.37 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 73c | 321.39$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 12c | 293.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 5c | 259.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed Yes | 72c | 251.83$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…c8e4backed Yes | 47c | 251.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 6c | 246$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.83 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 6c | 234$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…e34bbacked Yes | 35c | 234$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 230.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 29c | 220.03$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 32c | 214.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…b499backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 25c | 194.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 71c | 169.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…7090backed No | 65c | 162$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed Yes | 43c | 153.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 41c | 150.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…74efbacked No | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked Yes | 21c | 140$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…64bdbacked Yes | 44c | 137.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 61c | 129.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…037cbacked Yes | 77c | 123.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Yes | 71c | 123.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e440backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 23c | 121.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…d503backed No | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110e…518dbacked Yes | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 10c | 112$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ff…49b7backed No | 27c | 102$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…0cb9backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…10d5backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 38c | 99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…0238backed Yes | 73c | 97.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 73c | 95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fc…eaf1backed Yes | 45c | 93.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…fa14backed No | 31c | 93.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Yes | 73c | 91.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0955…1803backed Yes | 47c | 90.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…0318backed Yes | 73c | 89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 42c | 88.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdab…8f28backed No | 29c | 85.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…6b6cbacked No | 56c | 84.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…3a31backed Yes | 66c | 78.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…0529backed No | 31c | 74.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…08afbacked No | 60c | 74.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…475fbacked No | 29c | 73.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…1b2ebacked No | 30c | 72.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…9bc2backed No | 63c | 71.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 72c | 69.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 21c | 69.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e6…0b4bbacked Yes | 43c | 69.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…bec1backed No | 34c | 68.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…7021backed Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…7a19backed No | 56c | 58.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e8…c353backed Yes | 56c | 56.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…7729backed Yes | 27c | 54.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…8499backed Yes | 73c | 54.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…a19dbacked Yes | 30c | 53.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…f134backed No | 34c | 52.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…515dbacked Yes | 48c | 51.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…e9fdbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6b…a799backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb67f…735bbacked Yes | 47c | 49.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…4ab0backed No | 29c | 49.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…1339backed No | 29c | 49.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…e9babacked Yes | 74c | 46.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a8…db78backed Yes | 74c | 46.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…b05bbacked No | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…b0cebacked Yes | 71c | 44.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…1fd0backed Yes | 78c | 44.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?this page
- Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Viswanathan Anand win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
- Will Vladimir Fedoseev win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.