South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ed74c88a7aeb604f2e330285f8b50deae87ea87f33acdf514230c4962974c0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 2,797$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.75 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 1,620$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.31 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…beebbacked Yes | 30c | 905.39$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 891.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 29c | 694.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 352.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.19 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4908backed Yes | 31c | 321.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 36c | 202.32$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes | 36c | 149.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 74c | 68.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 59.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…9096backed Yes | 68c | 38.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cd…26a5backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 62c | 27.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.