South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f53e9fb03898122d067d783951b24258c5238af6e015472f01d855e47fef4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 6,520$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Yes | 38c | 5,307$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 64c | 3,853$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.48 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 2,989$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 35c | 2,918$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.79 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…beebbacked Yes | 40c | 2,553$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 59c | 2,531$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.65 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 37c | 1,809$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.51 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 1,607$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.16 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked No | 62c | 1,350$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 40c | 1,325$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.2 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 16c | 729.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 37c | 708.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 38c | 646.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 543$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.76 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed No | 68c | 457.25$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 32c | 351.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 15c | 340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 63c | 333$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 40c | 236.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 61c | 176.26$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…da1abacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 63c | 103.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…d5f0backed Yes | 40c | 96.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Yes | 39c | 76.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Yes | 36c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 63c | 34.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 63c | 30.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 65c | 25.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?No won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.