NBA · resolved market
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe25fd03804a86ea890f5cb4ac7af98c9ce86e397f1547693071ffe4db924d23e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $384,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 31c | 94,566$29,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,315.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 31c | 89,122$27,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,626.5 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 32c | 48,862$15,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,625.42 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 69c | 47,635$32,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,766.89 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 68c | 31,097$21,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,039.43 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 70c | 13,441$9,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.24 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed No | 71c | 8,576$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.95 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 33c | 7,513$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.43 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…f5f7backed No | 69c | 7,445$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 29c | 6,384$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.68 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 33c | 6,062$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 22c | 5,099$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.83 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 22c | 4,601$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,419$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed No | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 34c | 4,000$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.5 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 70c | 3,610$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Yes | 30c | 3,404$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.23 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…d734backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 21c | 2,858$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.69 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 20c | 2,431$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.16 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 31c | 2,368$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.24 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 31c | 2,179$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.45 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 31c | 2,097$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 29c | 1,822$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9db…95dcbacked No | 71c | 1,659$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 68c | 1,594$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.81 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 69c | 1,505$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.66 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,482$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.06 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed No | 76c | 1,305$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed No | 78c | 1,300$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…aab9backed No | 78c | 1,284$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed No | 70c | 1,145$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.88 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…5823backed No | 69c | 1,100$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,092$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 20c | 1,065$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 17c | 976.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.21 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 21c | 905.78$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 72c | 888$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 30c | 764.54$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed No | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 21c | 727.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 596.44$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 69c | 583.33$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 79c | 503$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 29c | 501.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…3963backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 25c | 499.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 30c | 496.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 69c | 439.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +124%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 368.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 24c | 355.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…c1c2backed No | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…7470backed Yes | 31c | 324.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Yes | 29c | 319.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 31c | 318.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 21c | 309$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6e…1563backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…78cebacked Yes | 34c | 297.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 68c | 292.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 29c | 286.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…c4ddbacked Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 74c | 247.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes | 19c | 229.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd303…9c76backed Yes | 31c | 222.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 15c | 222.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…75b1backed Yes | 32c | 221.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…873ebacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…5403backed Yes | 20c | 195$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 27c | 193.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 29c | 177$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…8b45backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?this page
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.