NBA · resolved market
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bef22c5cf4b6f92395318173ad43bb93f763d7d641ef134af0edde44d38a378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $359,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 74c | 65,606$48,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,292.04 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes | 4c | 49,962$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.48 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 55c | 28,483$15,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,530.72 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 62c | 22,826$14,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,124.86 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 50c | 21,446$10,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,638.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 79c | 16,963$13,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.12 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…4211backed Yes | 65c | 14,261$9,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,292.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 37c | 13,160$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.51 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 19c | 13,072$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -13.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9db…95dcbacked No | 73c | 7,048$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 30c | 4,989$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.29 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 64c | 4,935$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,147.41 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 31c | 4,865$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 70c | 4,406$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.28 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 28c | 4,110$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.46 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 40c | 4,028$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 47c | 3,401$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Yes | 18c | 3,061$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.02 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed No | 69c | 3,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 186 | 32.3%60 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 76c | 2,885$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.12 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…0704backed Yes | 53c | 2,094$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.32 | 187 | 55.6%104 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Yes | 20c | 1,958$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 36c | 1,732$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.92 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…2b92backed Yes | 49c | 1,582$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 18c | 1,542$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.44 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 34c | 1,509$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.76 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 59c | 1,375$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.81 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa020…d807backed Yes | 19c | 1,263$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 70c | 1,103$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.82 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 1,061$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…0770backed Yes | 18c | 1,022$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…1829backed Yes | 67c | 1,015$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 51c | 984.98$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.64 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 49c | 939.72$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 31c | 888$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.72 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Yes | 43c | 824.84$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.47 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 70c | 822.05$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.39 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 72c | 805.56$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.56 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 18c | 733$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…7ebbbacked Yes | 69c | 728.17$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.12 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 64c | 711.91$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 18c | 694.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 72c | 669.16$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.54 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 44c | 664.49$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 36c | 645.93$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.02 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Yes | 28c | 600.41$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 61c | 549.99$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 499.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 78c | 480.36$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…1d41backed No | 56c | 447.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…75b1backed Yes | 25c | 417.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…5648backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 8c | 362.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5b…567dbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 18c | 342$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 51c | 324.74$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 33c | 300.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…a1c1backed Yes | 66c | 296.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 295.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 277.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 36c | 275.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…fea3backed Yes | 28c | 269.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 268.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 24c | 257.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23a…8f51backed Yes | 32c | 248.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed No | 43c | 233.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 231.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes | 28c | 230$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed No | 54c | 222.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.46 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…4262backed No | 51c | 211.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…227cbacked Yes | 50c | 210.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…4cefbacked Yes | 50c | 209.08$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…939abacked No | 51c | 207.96$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…ff94backed No | 52c | 205.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-2?this page
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-0?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-1?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-2?No won
- Will the Pacers beat the Thunder 4-3?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?No won
- Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.