NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa9a39e2af63c8f8e44374e3311971ee1b58cb62a606546003c135d85c4adbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 7,263$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.65 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 5,524$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 49c | 3,088$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.76 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,852$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.78 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Over | 49c | 1,140$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 1,105$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.31 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 30c | 879.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 642.75$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…9811backed Under | 54c | 570.58$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.46 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Under | 63c | 300$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…00e9backed Under | 52c | 202.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 49c | 200.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 196.35$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 46c | 187$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Under | 52c | 154.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Under | 56c | 127.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 45c | 110.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 107.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…49aabacked Under | 53c | 104$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 52c | 97.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 36c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389b…154ebacked Over | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…3b67backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 46c | 38.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5this page
- Lakers vs. JazzLakers won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.