NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07be19fd6f101967a765756a8be38140a325a66731e5022a099f1613dc7360e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 1,646$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Over | 53c | 600.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.38 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 51c | 504.06$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…00e9backed Over | 53c | 210.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…bb7cbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 188.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.81 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 186$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 55c | 181.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…dff3backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 156 | 57.7%90 W · 66 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 53c | 75.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 72.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 45c | 66.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 61.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5373…e46bbacked Under | 50c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5this page
- Lakers vs. JazzLakers won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-6.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-8.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Lakers (-9.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.