Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41a677de3fbc8f3fb87000f1e864709bb9f9806a2cb00adda531a80374a1084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Tideboundof Team Tidebound, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Tidebound | 50c | 7,780$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.3 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 40c | 7,601$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 5,287$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.32 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 5,094$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.82 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Tidebound | 56c | 4,494$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.4 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Team Tidebound | 73c | 4,102$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 60c | 3,980$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Aurora | 59c | 3,882$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.85 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 46c | 3,428$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 52c | 3,221$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.77 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 3,154$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.92 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Aurora | 60c | 3,087$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Tidebound | 56c | 2,674$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.17 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Aurora | 57c | 2,533$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.16 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora | 57c | 2,334$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.45 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Aurora | 59c | 2,296$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.47 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Aurora | 73c | 2,137$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Aurora | 55c | 2,067$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.32 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.98 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 1,915$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.53 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.28 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora | 25c | 1,797$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.37 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Tidebound | 44c | 1,600$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.27 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 1,592$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.3 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Aurora | 40c | 1,585$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Tidebound | 52c | 1,551$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Aurora | 60c | 1,499$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 43c | 1,277$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.83 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Tidebound | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.08 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 56c | 1,167$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.52 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…576ebacked Aurora | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,165$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.63 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Tidebound | 44c | 1,148$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.48 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Aurora | 60c | 1,047$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.61 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…f77cbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,020$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…3fbcbacked Team Tidebound | 44c | 1,020$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80d…6268backed Aurora | 56c | 1,015$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…54c1backed Team Tidebound | 44c | 1,015$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…be13backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 1,010$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…955abacked Aurora | 57c | 1,010$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Aurora | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Aurora | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Aurora | 40c | 982.39$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Tidebound | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 914.11$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.04 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…1691backed Aurora | 25c | 913.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 40c | 908.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.49 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Aurora | 47c | 882.77$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.5 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 850$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…b76bbacked Aurora | 2c | 810.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Aurora | 4c | 758.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 754$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.78 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Tidebound | 47c | 725.05$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.77 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…32c5backed Aurora | 15c | 722.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…d7c1backed Aurora | 57c | 707$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aurora | 50c | 676.03$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.32 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Aurora | 55c | 667.86$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Team Tidebound | 55c | 659.44$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Aurora | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed Aurora | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Aurora | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Aurora | 56c | 599.97$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…52b7backed Aurora | 34c | 589.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Tidebound | 20c | 585.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Team Tidebound | 50c | 584$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.42 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound | 18c | 563.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.26 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Team Tidebound | 47c | 541.96$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.86 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Tidebound | 80c | 524.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 523.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.26 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 520.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Aurora | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Aurora | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team Tidebound | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 499.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…465fbacked Aurora | 73c | 484.09$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Tidebound | 49c | 466.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.71 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Team Tidebound | 44c | 465$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 457.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…be12backed Team Tidebound | 31c | 457.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Aurora | 14c | 437.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Team Tidebound | 70c | 427.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +204.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Tidebound | 12c | 416.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.49 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…fad0backed Team Tidebound | 79c | 400.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Tidebound | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed Aurora | 59c | 379.77$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Aurora | 54c | 365.06$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Tidebound | 73c | 350.12$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Tidebound | 36c | 348.83$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Aurora | 33c | 337.42$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…ada0backed Aurora | 70c | 327$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Aurora | 45c | 325.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Aurora | 80c | 323$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6d…e289backed Aurora | 70c | 320$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…089bbacked Team Tidebound | 47c | 314.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora | 40c | 310$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…cc66backed Aurora | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Tidebound vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Tidebound won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.