Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x205c911dd5625db0ad1bb97eeb76665dfc432812135d40f6617aa45768ac1318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 41c | 47,169$19,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,829.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 59c | 45,433$26,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,797.52 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 17,096$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.12 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 0c | 14,794$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 59c | 10,474$6,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,128.51 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 5,109$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 45c | 4,447$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.24 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 42c | 3,528$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 34c | 1,747$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.42 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 12c | 1,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 59c | 1,406$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.83 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 56c | 1,401$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 1,274$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.88 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 55c | 1,131$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.05 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 1,100$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Yes | 43c | 1,021$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 840$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 43c | 564.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 58c | 518.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 77c | 505$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 53c | 505$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 150 | 64%96 W · 54 L | +25.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 44c | 454.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…63d9backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 43c | 418.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 416.67$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 43c | 397.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 376.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.99 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 31c | 370$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 59c | 340.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 42c | 330.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 43c | 325.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 58c | 322.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes | 42c | 305.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 45c | 180$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 43c | 169.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 42c | 101.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…9b52backed Yes | 43c | 94.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 44c | 90.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 59c | 84.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 43c | 79.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 33c | 61.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…c886backed Yes | 44c | 55.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5385…9b12backed Yes | 46c | 43.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…3816backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…a39fbacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 58c | 21.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…635ebacked Yes | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.