Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf20a6d7850786b4e7a75266ca3ed20464c758b0e045e2aa04806cfeda8c1cabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 67c | 7,720$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 7,439$2,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.36 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 67c | 6,168$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.49 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 33c | 4,520$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.52 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 20c | 3,275$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.67 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 2,838$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5832…3dacbacked No | 71c | 921.43$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 625.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed Yes | 2c | 582$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 67c | 555.22$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.22 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 498.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 67c | 421$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 18c | 400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 30c | 387.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 71c | 283.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed No | 69c | 181.16$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 30c | 142.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…ad75backed No | 69c | 113.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…2077backed No | 70c | 71.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 49.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…105dbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 70c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.