NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x831f8ca74a65b6dc943fa2c99f11433eeb93194990681765340ce5fc9cf8d0f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 48c | 47,734$22,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,909.46 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 48c | 18,238$8,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,722 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 16,058$8,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,707.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed Over | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 9,960$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.8 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 53c | 5,816$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.59 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 4,802$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 56c | 4,783$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.14 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…25a9backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Under | 47c | 3,047$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 52c | 2,365$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.35 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,549$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 52c | 769$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Under | 47c | 517$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.99 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 168.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 52c | 129.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…71e1backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5this page
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.