NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc171727ffbb19fb47fa50fb477518b082a86aa4ddd1077bd31a67e7c3b306a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 42,011$21,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,553.94 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 24,715$12,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,624.09 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 6,140$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.17 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 5,188$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.5 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 5,003$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,894$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Over | 49c | 2,237$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.73 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 1,826$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 49c | 1,408$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.16 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,193$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.41 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 673.71$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…85d5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…b729backed Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…5cdcbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Under | 56c | 22.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5this page
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.