TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Trail Blazers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$837,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,581

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $837,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Kings51c636,376$325,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,376.2110049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Trail Blazers49c256,098$125,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,488.0326253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers49c217,084$105,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,699.381,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Trail Blazers50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,000.1911535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Trail Blazers49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings50c44,689$22,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,344.572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers50c41,740$20,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,716.082,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e6…025bbacked Kings51c33,620$17,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,473.751346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers48c28,786$13,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,823.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers51c19,999$10,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,295.661,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Trail Blazers50c19,777$9,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,966.2529748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers49c18,989$9,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,301.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers51c16,044$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,108.1351350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1a…876ebacked Kings50c10,016$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00066853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers53c9,514$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers49c6,532$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200.681,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings48c5,935$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.291,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings48c5,055$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Kings51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.1674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Trail Blazers52c3,318$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.5423047%108 W · 122 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Trail Blazers52c3,074$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.353941%16 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Kings50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50036248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Trail Blazers49c2,984$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.313256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers47c2,315$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings48c2,013$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Trail Blazers11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Kings50c1,972$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98646258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Kings48c1,800$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9361,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers48c1,683$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Trail Blazers49c1,358$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.3416339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Trail Blazers2c1,341$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8139018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers49c1,256$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.842,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Kings48c1,021$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.0571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2c9…8cefbacked Kings49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb5a…ebc9backed Kings51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers41c762.37$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.623,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Kings68c640.91$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0921055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Kings49c600$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Trail Blazers52c578.54$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.845541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers49c547$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.031,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…0805backed Trail Blazers51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Kings49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.18351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Kings49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.119556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Kings49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.169458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers48c400$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1904,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef31…1798backed Kings50c374.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.01944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…deb7backed Trail Blazers51c340$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers51c272.45$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.752,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Trail Blazers51c246.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4821753%115 W · 102 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61dd…2fe1backed Trail Blazers51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Kings48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Kings51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Kings48c164.35$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4652643%226 W · 300 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Kings51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Kings48c108.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.377252.8%38 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Kings48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5252242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Trail Blazers15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Kings60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332839.3%11 W · 17 L-6.6wins-0.24per pick63cpaid-37.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings63c78.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.321,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Trail Blazers52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.417444.3%77 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Kings50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2547948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Trail Blazers52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Kings49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.928856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8901…e16bbacked Trail Blazers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Kings50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2024248.3%117 W · 125 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Kings50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Kings50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2048451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Trail Blazers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd45e…f11dbacked Trail Blazers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf90a…bb92backed Trail Blazers50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…21e1backed Kings51c30.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1511930.3%36 W · 83 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Kings49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3545151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Kings50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Kings51c25.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4219951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Kings50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…bdddbacked Trail Blazers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Kings50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9324…7e95backed Kings50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Kings80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.