TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,349,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,843,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,349,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 624 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f86…2874backed Kings0c210,134$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.51425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Kings34c200,759$68,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,224.058333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings25c160,451$40,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,032.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers74c154,988$114,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,386.451,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Kings41c114,964$46,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,741.6321944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180f…87fdbacked Kings1c114,568$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.811136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers50c103,537$51,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,024.9138248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Trail Blazers69c103,116$70,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,438.9816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Kings26c70,070$18,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,218.337539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Kings25c62,638$15,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,833.3972648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers73c55,249$40,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,887.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Kings25c50,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,499.994456.8%25 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Trail Blazers62c43,015$26,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,134.79641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Trail Blazers64c40,234$25,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,345.6159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers76c30,000$22,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.9851350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings0c28,887$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Trail Blazers75c27,905$20,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,976.2414549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Kings77c27,000$20,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,895.9522457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers74c27,000$19,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,019.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers79c26,000$20,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4102,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Trail Blazers75c25,270$18,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,421.1172450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62a…c2c7backed Trail Blazers74c24,000$17,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2403063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c3…5cc1backed Kings0c20,249$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.75024%12 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Kings26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2008939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Kings1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.981,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked Kings1c18,989$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers74c18,569$13,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,801.151,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Trail Blazers69c18,313$12,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,620.2918453.3%98 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers74c15,510$11,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.672,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers64c14,205$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.234,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc675…2ff3backed Trail Blazers75c13,938$10,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,484.53240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings29c13,577$3,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8721,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Kings25c13,366$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,294.822,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Trail Blazers77c12,987$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,987.0134062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings27c12,481$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.143,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers75c12,029$8,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,042.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…ded1backed Kings25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings1c12,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings0c11,808$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.547211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers67c11,726$7,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.361,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Trail Blazers64c11,672$7,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,175.738649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c11,190$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.31,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings0c10,710$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.28820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…9eacbacked Kings1c10,601$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-73.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4087…1665backed Kings32c10,192$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.853737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Kings30c10,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers75c10,000$7,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.511,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Kings23c9,905$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.5436741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Trail Blazers72c9,727$6,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.385369.8%37 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Kings35c9,440$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.859336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Kings0c9,252$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7a…abb7backed Kings0c9,123$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Trail Blazers75c9,000$6,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Trail Blazers72c8,167$5,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.9616942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings25c8,150$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers74c7,935$5,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.172,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers76c7,458$5,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,794.344459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Kings41c7,313$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00041954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings12c7,107$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.281,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Kings25c6,600$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6645259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Kings39c6,378$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Trail Blazers65c6,288$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.4813442.5%57 W · 77 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Trail Blazers77c6,250$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.8929458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers75c6,227$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.751,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Kings26c6,100$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.1227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings0c5,212$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Kings6c5,042$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3431430.3%95 W · 219 L-1.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers58c5,010$2,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.31,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6422…a346backed Kings8c4,958$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.991323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kings13c4,859$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.1434227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Trail Blazers60c4,817$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.732454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers72c4,706$3,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings30c4,246$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.581,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers74c4,156$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.591,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers75c4,091$3,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.383,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Kings25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid+86.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers72c3,851$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.152,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Trail Blazers79c3,541$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.082673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Kings20c3,506$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers75c3,470$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.451,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kings2c3,431$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.018783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Kings2c3,200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.45446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11b5…0d05backed Kings18c3,195$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5752536%9 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Trail Blazers75c3,174$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.9362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ca…f4c7backed Kings32c3,158$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Trail Blazers68c3,107$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.6822449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Kings16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings13c2,863$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.861,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Kings17c2,827$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.263727%10 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9432…42a3backed Kings1c2,726$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.164452.3%23 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Kings1c2,723$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.034573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4716…3444backed Kings11c2,717$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.892263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Trail Blazers73c2,617$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.856746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Trail Blazers71c2,563$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.591,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Kings35c2,534$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88719136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Kings24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60044648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Trail Blazers66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.