NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0247ee7614014bfd0d282c1550a1fb610f8e7e3c8827fab7df0cd6a80cf24c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $245,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 53c | 212,769$113,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,177.3 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 46c | 83,174$38,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,664.06 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 65,542$30,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,201.67 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 47c | 37,500$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,750 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Under | 49c | 14,341$7,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,027.32 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 12,668$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590 | 184 | 53.3%98 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 8,085$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,970.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 48c | 2,800$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 1,591$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.57 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 1,106$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.24 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Over | 2c | 860$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.76 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde1…dfc0backed Over | 2c | 755$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +192.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 636$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 616$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 158 | 7%11 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Over | 53c | 302.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 295.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b16…a497backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…cc85backed Over | 55c | 199.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…68bbbacked Over | 55c | 199.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…c762backed Over | 54c | 192.26$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…bfc2backed Over | 55c | 190.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00bd…36c7backed Over | 55c | 190.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…3c11backed Over | 55c | 189.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…5da4backed Over | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 49c | 188.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…1849backed Over | 54c | 188.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…116cbacked Over | 54c | 186.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…a528backed Over | 54c | 186.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde3a…e48abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…3a20backed Over | 54c | 185.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdee2…30bbbacked Over | 54c | 185.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…2871backed Over | 54c | 185.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53a2…320bbacked Over | 54c | 184.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…8a08backed Over | 54c | 184.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…79d5backed Over | 54c | 183.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…ccf4backed Over | 54c | 183.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 46c | 173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Over | 54c | 155.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 54c | 140.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…fe30backed Over | 54c | 135.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5this page
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.