Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033ae2687355690b330f8cced2eda1c42256383dd9a3b666846b426662944393

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $247,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,676 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x659b…ffbdbacked Yes	74c	11,592$8,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,007.19	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+214.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No	0c	10,397$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.58	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked No	26c	5,445$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.49	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	26c	4,507$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.34	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No	1c	4,114$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b2…b501backed Yes	25c	2,746$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,066.46	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	43c	2,701$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.94	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	73c	2,520$1,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.08	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked Yes	37c	2,233$827 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.38	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	35c	1,864$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.93	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Yes	63c	1,771$1,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.67	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	74c	1,367$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x296d…2561backed No	26c	864.62$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfbd…b6d3backed Yes	47c	854.1$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.1	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+68.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	25c	722.74$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.31	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	35c	700$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.87	156	46.2%72 W · 84 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	74c	645.15$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.26	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No	62c	609$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.58	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	78c	601.25$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.97	235	43%101 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	562.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.56	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed No	50c	562.67$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.68	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	58c	541.49$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.73	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	6c	519.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.84	363	35.8%130 W · 233 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	73c	508.27$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.89	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	61c	502.26$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.1	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	47c	502.14$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.59	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No	76c	500$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	21c	486$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.68	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	4c	423.4$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.44	350	35.7%125 W · 225 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	24c	413.95$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.4	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked No	26c	389.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	36c	378.77$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.19	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	60c	365.08$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.49	656	51.7%339 W · 317 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	7c	361.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.32	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	22c	341.86$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.69	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	36c	325$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.98	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	19c	314.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8b…e4d4backed No	63c	309.99$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.29	90	50%45 W · 45 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No	26c	281.27$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.34	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	32c	259.52$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.19	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecd…278dbacked No	8c	235.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Yes	24c	211.24$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.24	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed Yes	75c	206$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.5	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	29c	200$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.99	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed No	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	77c	177.85$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.84	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb924…0803backed No	26c	175$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.03	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	71c	169.18$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.76	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	75c	160$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked No	63c	156.5$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.13	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	71c	151.2$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.4	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No	34c	140$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked No	12c	138.13$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	208	50.5%105 W · 103 L	+16.9wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	76c	137.02$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.66	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5d4…f720backed Yes	74c	135.32$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.32	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	63c	130.57$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.81	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…30eebacked Yes	80c	125.18$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.18	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96b4…3d2dbacked Yes	23c	109.78$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.78	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+5.9wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	28c	109.1$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.55	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes	24c	102.33$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.77	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	22cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.8	151	58.3%88 W · 63 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bba…5fa8backed Yes	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	59cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.6	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf311…aed6backed Yes	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.8wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a3e…6182backed Yes	73c	99.99$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.9	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x750d…c7f2backed No	66c	99.99$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.79	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes	26c	98.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.09	320	44.1%141 W · 179 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	25c	92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	47c	90$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.15	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24f…15b2backed Yes	35c	86.91$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.91	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	22c	85.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe6f…153cbacked Yes	74c	81.95$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.98	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	67cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e77…e626backed Yes	50c	81.86$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.21	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24d3…6468backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+6.0wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	76c	80$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.73	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked No	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed No	78c	70$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.6	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No	26c	69.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.12	281	48.4%136 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd9…0c9abacked Yes	35c	69.9$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.56	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	28c	66.59$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.84	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	76c	64.73$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.51	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	74c	63.27$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e28…2db0backed No	75c	61$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.74	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	285	54.4%155 W · 130 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f5…47eebacked No	26c	57.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b2…5203backed No	26c	57.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb70b…ff59backed No	26c	57.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb090…7085backed No	75c	54$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.56	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	55cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c6…730dbacked Yes	74c	53.94$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ec…e53abacked Yes	74c	52.69$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.7	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Yes	39c	51.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x767e…e5bfbacked Yes	39c	51.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.42per pick	41cpaid	+90.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Yes	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	75c	50$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1d…aa25backed Yes	74c	50$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.95	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	256	38.7%99 W · 157 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cef…5961backed No	27c	45.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	49	30.6%15 W · 34 L	-7.2wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?this page
Will Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
Will Belgium win the World Cup?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event