Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fcd5caeed63573e686b6ed65a42aba3d7f0befba36e00e69ffbc38bad590b62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 46c | 4,232$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.57 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 50c | 3,538$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.67 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 49c | 3,062$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.12 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed No | 47c | 2,345$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.71 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.09 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,924$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.08 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 45c | 1,319$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.89 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…b6d3backed Yes | 59c | 1,013$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 50c | 1,008$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.14 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed Yes | 54c | 874.21$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.61 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 51c | 843.03$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.19 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 53c | 698$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.54 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 49c | 683.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.49 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 51c | 656.2$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 55c | 655.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 50c | 531.76$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 51c | 440.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.71 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 425.13$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 51c | 403.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.75 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed No | 68c | 398.19$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…e4d4backed Yes | 51c | 392.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 49c | 312$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 38c | 307.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 46c | 299.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.59 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 282$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 227.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 23c | 225$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 47c | 213$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.6 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 50c | 207.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Yes | 50c | 203$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…14c8backed Yes | 50c | 196$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 53c | 183.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 31c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 169$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 49c | 152.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…2a8ebacked Yes | 38c | 130.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 35c | 124.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 37c | 119$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Yes | 51c | 111.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1a…7a1ebacked No | 49c | 101.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…c7f2backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…0cabbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 238 | 55.5%132 W · 106 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…62d4backed Yes | 50c | 97.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…ec62backed Yes | 52c | 95.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…153cbacked Yes | 54c | 91.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 51c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 31c | 88.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 87.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…25bfbacked Yes | 53c | 84.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked Yes | 53c | 83.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes | 50c | 82.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 51c | 76.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…78babacked No | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 52c | 57.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked No | 70c | 57.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 62c | 55.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…7fe9backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 38c | 48.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked Yes | 52c | 48.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Yes | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 51c | 47.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked No | 46c | 43.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…70b4backed No | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed No | 49c | 41.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…1cb4backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…ca52backed Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…eb65backed Yes | 50c | 39.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…eefcbacked Yes | 51c | 38.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…3ffbbacked Yes | 53c | 37.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d3a4backed Yes | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…7aa2backed No | 48c | 33.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 32.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 37c | 31.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…47eebacked No | 50c | 30.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…eac3backed Yes | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…c8cbbacked Yes | 53c | 28.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 75c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.