Fifa International · resolved market
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063cd633b74b8de37e82de6410917702b57c11f8b2aaff562e820fbb8df11667
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked No | 75c | 2,058$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.23 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed No | 53c | 1,614$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.14 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 63c | 1,581$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.87 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,004$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.34 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 40c | 999.72$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.59 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…046dbacked No | 61c | 900.09$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 64c | 828.5$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 58c | 629.47$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 67c | 588.15$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.08 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 38c | 532.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Yes | 38c | 519$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…8f1dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 52c | 444$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 38c | 429.31$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 400.6$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.95 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 29c | 349$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 57c | 340.93$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 321.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 79c | 300$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…c210backed Yes | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 68c | 250.24$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…deb0backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 38c | 239.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…b5fdbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 219.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 37c | 209$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 30c | 204.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf53e…2728backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 54c | 196.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 39c | 185$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 38c | 183.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 37c | 177.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 44c | 158.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 59c | 155.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 125$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 35c | 105.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…b4bbbacked No | 60c | 102.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 69c | 101.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…517abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 97.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 71c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 58c | 88.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 25c | 86.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 68.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked No | 59c | 65.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 30c | 63.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 36c | 58.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…229bbacked Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…9338backed No | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 24c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 61c | 48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 31c | 45.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…b94bbacked No | 63c | 41.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…00c6backed No | 29c | 37.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…deaabacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 39c | 32.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…4199backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 28.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked No | 69c | 25.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 68c | 24.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…47eebacked No | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 64c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 60c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 71c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…9975backed No | 70c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Belgium be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.