CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b10b1c8a7059c0a94b195b9505cd32deb466b45a348622461d31fd1f55303d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof paiN, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $460,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $538,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 80,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,999.94 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN | 35c | 67,004$23,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,751.4 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 48,093$31,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,077.02 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 44,035$28,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,852.67 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed paiN | 36c | 40,453$14,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,698.37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed paiN | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked paiN | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 17,889$12,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.16 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 36c | 12,987$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.16 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed paiN | 22c | 10,283$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.45 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed paiN | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked paiN | 20c | 9,803$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked paiN | 9c | 6,840$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.63 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed paiN | 16c | 6,091$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 5,667$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 5,450$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.87 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 5,266$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.53 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 5,255$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.42 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed paiN | 20c | 5,193$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.84 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 36c | 5,175$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked paiN | 32c | 4,806$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.6 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,628$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.49 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked paiN | 34c | 4,259$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.18 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 4,083$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.62 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked paiN | 32c | 3,811$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.53 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aurora Gaming | 73c | 3,693$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 3,169$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.04 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b962backed paiN | 15c | 3,113$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked paiN | 24c | 2,992$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.89 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,868$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.76 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed paiN | 37c | 2,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed paiN | 35c | 2,700$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed paiN | 36c | 2,600$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked paiN | 36c | 2,528$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 35c | 2,500$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed paiN | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 2,447$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed paiN | 35c | 2,199$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 35c | 2,121$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed paiN | 36c | 2,067$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.12 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.01 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed paiN | 38c | 1,450$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,349$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.16 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked paiN | 35c | 1,319$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.6 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed paiN | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 1,194$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed paiN | 34c | 1,160$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.66 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed paiN | 35c | 1,136$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.07 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…382ebacked paiN | 23c | 1,119$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…37e7backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,104$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.86 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 999$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 974.98$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.34 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed paiN | 32c | 956.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.26 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 916.53$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.53 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…0915backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 864.29$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.79 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked paiN | 41c | 861.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 838.73$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…24f9backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 817$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 37c | 799.96$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…72d7backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 775.96$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed paiN | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca3…105cbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 687.23$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 669.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…20bcbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 628.8$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 605.59$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed paiN | 35c | 600$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.33per pick | 49cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed paiN | 31c | 594.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 593.08$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 586.31$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed paiN | 19c | 583.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed paiN | 21c | 583.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.35 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 544.06$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked paiN | 35c | 542.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 537.85$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.34 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed paiN | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed paiN | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed paiN | 37c | 499.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 495.16$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 468.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked paiN | 36c | 439.99$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed paiN | 38c | 432.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked paiN | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN | 25c | 413.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 402.57$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed paiN | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c7…4138backed paiN | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN | 34c | 365$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN | 29c | 358.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed paiN | 37c | 354$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 352.82$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked paiN | 26c | 349.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.49 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed paiN | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +6.1wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 325$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.