CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51214c50a75147eb1d452a413238c1d035b605ab030d33f89b40a6f72a949d15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof paiN, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 7,310$4,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,044$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.91 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 21c | 3,279$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.96 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN | 37c | 3,158$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 33c | 2,599$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 32c | 2,318$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN | 36c | 2,038$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,719$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.81 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,679$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.71 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,663$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 34c | 1,536$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.01 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,267$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.76 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,250$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed paiN | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 971.75$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.75 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 968.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.62 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed paiN | 39c | 777$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 32c | 742.76$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 711.04$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.29 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed paiN | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 595.7$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked paiN | 44c | 580$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed paiN | 37c | 550$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked paiN | 51c | 531.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked paiN | 34c | 520.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…443cbacked paiN | 10c | 495.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…c89abacked paiN | 49c | 472.69$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed paiN | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 427.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked paiN | 13c | 416$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 387.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.27 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 385.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked paiN | 46c | 352.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…f2ffbacked paiN | 36c | 319.83$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 314.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked paiN | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked paiN | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed paiN | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked paiN | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN | 38c | 286.19$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 259.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked paiN | 49c | 226.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed paiN | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28f…be21backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…8346backed paiN | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 144.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed paiN | 34c | 139.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN | 16c | 136.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked paiN | 34c | 128.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 126$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked paiN | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked paiN | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked paiN | 11c | 119.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…1a11backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 107.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed paiN | 45c | 107.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…b6dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed paiN | 40c | 99.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed paiN | 32c | 90.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed paiN | 36c | 87.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN | 32c | 85.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed paiN | 32c | 76.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…eb6cbacked paiN | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed paiN | 29c | 66.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed paiN | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed paiN | 33c | 53.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 46.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 46.91$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed paiN | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed paiN | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed paiN | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed paiN | 33c | 36.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…70f8backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 33 | 90.9%30 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 92 | 73.9%68 W · 24 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 20.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5a…016fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 13.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.