CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e8edc0c1bb91772b566c0d12712dfd1c24f8e6f0dfebec61c2c0a067e1d507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof paiN, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa715…4349backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 11,926$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN | 42c | 8,726$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 7,004$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.06 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed paiN | 4c | 6,191$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.54 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 37c | 5,517$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.91 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 4,395$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.26 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN | 0c | 3,836$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,194$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.18 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked paiN | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed paiN | 32c | 2,721$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.75 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked paiN | 1c | 2,665$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed paiN | 35c | 2,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,403$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.75 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked paiN | 25c | 2,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.9 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed paiN | 36c | 1,927$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.56 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,457$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.24 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN | 33c | 1,398$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.06 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked paiN | 23c | 1,185$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,176$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.18 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked paiN | 34c | 1,156$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed paiN | 7c | 1,100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed paiN | 42c | 1,099$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.81 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,078$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.29 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,033$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.78 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,015$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed paiN | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 967$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 846.04$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.55 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN | 33c | 841.7$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55f…5705backed paiN | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 774.68$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.68 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 726.9$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.45 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed paiN | 7c | 690.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 657.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked paiN | 53c | 562.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed paiN | 36c | 538.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 449.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 447.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 429.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 375.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 355.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked paiN | 57c | 355.23$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked paiN | 6c | 351.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked paiN | 34c | 350.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…8346backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 334.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked paiN | 48c | 332.04$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 329.34$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked paiN | 55c | 326.03$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.31 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed paiN | 51c | 321.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed paiN | 35c | 316.87$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 262$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 216.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea4…2effbacked paiN | 39c | 214.28$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 202.71$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed paiN | 51c | 195.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked paiN | 46c | 179.11$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed paiN | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 174.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed paiN | 24c | 174.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 174.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked paiN | 35c | 168.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed paiN | 34c | 158.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 154.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked paiN | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 149.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed paiN | 30c | 134.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked paiN | 58c | 131.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed paiN | 49c | 121.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 116$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…f22bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 110.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 103.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 102.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aca…b6dcbacked paiN | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…5b3abacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 98.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb15…cbdabacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 95.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed paiN | 35c | 93.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 92.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed paiN | 35c | 92.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…8056backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed paiN | 32c | 82.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked paiN | 57c | 76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked paiN | 34c | 71.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed paiN | 44c | 66.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed paiN | 38c | 66.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 63.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5a…016fbacked paiN | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed paiN | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed paiN | 19c | 57.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…ea4bbacked paiN | 26c | 57.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked paiN | 44c | 50.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-InAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.