TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$744,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd25c…4d20backed Yes55c538,705$294,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,183.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c121,423$55,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,464.5284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c61,521$27,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,853.2744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c59,996$26,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,491.132,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c45,413$21,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,370.843,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c37,825$17,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,343.491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No45c30,340$13,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,650.4735158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No45c20,198$9,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0895632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No45c19,800$8,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,909.963240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c17,500$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,049.9815947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed No46c14,786$6,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,801.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No45c10,054$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,503.2533055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6002369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed No47c8,576$4,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No49c8,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No45c7,659$3,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.685054%27 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No46c6,652$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.925532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No47c6,403$2,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.5574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No47c5,640$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.83046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked No47c5,319$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked No47c5,196$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3004427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.921010%1 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick29cpaid-75.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed No48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.06520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No46c3,820$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.22958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No46c3,760$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.61650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes47c3,731$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.7912166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No46c3,657$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.727939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No47c3,545$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6691060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6880…5efdbacked Yes53c3,396$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.231040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3805545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3807143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c2,633$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.1631849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No47c2,465$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.2720050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c2,172$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.9414740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No46c2,005$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.0713149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No47c2,004$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.38946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f84…dd89backed Yes54c1,957$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.413354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf2b…573cbacked Yes53c1,878$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes46c1,829$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.0115376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x130d…d84dbacked No46c1,819$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Yes52c1,816$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked No50c1,530$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No46c1,504$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.841650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No46c1,325$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.2843344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c1,212$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.6512336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No49c1,200$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.932951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No53c1,153$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.091241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4907963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes52c971.31$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.232548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc3…fce2backed No26c968.21$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.56520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.541450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No46c919.57$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4235343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes55c909.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.394067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.099748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No49c874.28$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.13944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3689148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.19858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c682.44$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0419934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes52c661.76$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.725234.6%18 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No47c651.06$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No50c600$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8819546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes51c599.91$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.966650%33 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.921040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ab…e3a9backed No51c572.63$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No46c568.86$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0433847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.56850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed No49c542.86$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2665549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2352725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2355738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No45c454$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.318049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20712948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No46c450$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2078444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No47c439$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.336753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No36c431.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4510537.1%39 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes50c425$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.58037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes63c409$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.524353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d9…1bdfbacked Yes52c407.92$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick36cpaid+100.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Yes51c401.92$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18424655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725616.1%9 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No46c360$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.68046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No47c346.17$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.948660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes53c344$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.12955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Yes52c340.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5414…1426backed No47c339.51$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02c…e98abacked Yes54c330$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes55c328.69$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9111449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked No46c311.64$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.352157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No46c310.5$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.832458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1388250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed No46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.