Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d3ef7093e8082caf2d8c6da5ac487ef6185850cae45e503928926dfaef84341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 12,003$8,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 5,805$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.13 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 26c | 4,973$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.16 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,952$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.93 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 25c | 2,604$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.97 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,786$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.3 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Yes | 25c | 1,689$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 25c | 1,512$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 63c | 1,501$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.32 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,417$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.46 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 26c | 750$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 631$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 519.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 25c | 499.78$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 72c | 335.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…c2b7backed No | 75c | 273.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 210.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…4e25backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 26c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 71c | 94.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 25c | 86.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 72c | 75.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 26c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 71c | 67.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 26c | 67.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…a4dfbacked Yes | 37c | 57.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 75c | 49.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5212…29c7backed No | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 69c | 45.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 43.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 75c | 30.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 74c | 29.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1674…93c0backed No | 71c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 74c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed No | 75c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked No | 74c | 13.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.