NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25f33517e1f8e2d91ae50cef650a3df9f9c3e611aa6b57734febcf04d051e0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Ducks, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,119,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,120,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,119,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,034 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Ducks | 50c | 338,799$170,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Islanders | 50c | 197,396$97,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,575.89 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Islanders | 53c | 140,831$73,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,871.73 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Islanders | 54c | 57,762$31,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,570.6 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ducks | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ducks | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Islanders | 51c | 25,489$12,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,516.29 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,500 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Islanders | 50c | 24,940$12,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,470.23 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 11c | 24,490$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.22 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 47c | 19,136$8,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,905.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 48c | 13,000$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…c2c7backed Ducks | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders | 54c | 11,284$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,190.87 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Islanders | 50c | 11,255$5,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Ducks | 15c | 8,647$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.98 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ducks | 45c | 8,500$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Islanders | 54c | 8,250$4,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.98 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5af…8f5abacked Islanders | 54c | 6,299$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Ducks | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 45c | 5,081$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.47 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Ducks | 46c | 4,995$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.7 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 53c | 4,810$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.64 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Ducks | 47c | 4,782$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.33 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 47c | 4,520$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.23 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 51c | 4,416$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.77 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ducks | 48c | 3,855$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.37 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Ducks | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Ducks | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Ducks | 10c | 3,079$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Islanders | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…28c4backed Islanders | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…7a3abacked Ducks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Ducks | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ducks | 47c | 2,943$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.79 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Ducks | 49c | 2,555$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.8 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Ducks | 11c | 2,506$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…74acbacked Ducks | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5551…5616backed Islanders | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…5591backed Ducks | 17c | 2,481$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ducks | 29c | 2,412$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.73 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Islanders | 49c | 2,404$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.14 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…4edabacked Ducks | 18c | 2,360$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Ducks | 45c | 2,349$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 52c | 2,121$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.28 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Islanders | 50c | 2,107$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.32 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Islanders | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Ducks | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Ducks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Ducks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Islanders | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Ducks | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Islanders | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.97 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Ducks | 47c | 1,948$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks | 12c | 1,944$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…75e7backed Ducks | 47c | 1,918$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked Islanders | 54c | 1,915$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Ducks | 46c | 1,810$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.87 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…cc90backed Ducks | 46c | 1,800$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Ducks | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4db…cb61backed Ducks | 48c | 1,649$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Ducks | 45c | 1,639$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.39 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Ducks | 47c | 1,525$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.75 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…1903backed Ducks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…c1f7backed Ducks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…6f60backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…e87dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c43…a0f7backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…1a53backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…06a9backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…3264backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…2bc8backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692d…13a2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7d…2070backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…065ebacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…d36cbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…7c2ebacked Ducks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…8d53backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…915ebacked Ducks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…eae7backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…f15abacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…14febacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…ce1ebacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…0365backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…fcb3backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a57…5bdbbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…a17dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5766…b38abacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…e476backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…02e6backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…e3f0backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…f1e2backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…f777backed Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a36…8b0dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…535abacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1397…4cd5backed Ducks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…cc4dbacked Islanders | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Islandersthis page
- Ducks vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.