Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2f64c4f59a8ac014403bbed5a4de9ad0b08b21fb9708a5daa5dee3aec4f2791
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 27c | 6,736$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.8 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 75c | 4,021$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.85 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…eaa7backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 3,579$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 3,311$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.58 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Yes | 27c | 3,195$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.67 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Yes | 27c | 3,180$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Yes | 28c | 2,818$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 71c | 2,742$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.21 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 10c | 2,719$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 2,644$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.88 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 2,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yes | 25c | 2,222$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -77%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 2,099$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.93 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,050$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 5c | 1,759$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…105bbacked No | 72c | 1,411$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…67c8backed No | 73c | 1,304$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…3423backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 931.01$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.55 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 11c | 823.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…9ef0backed Yes | 28c | 759$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 28c | 705.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 8c | 685$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 28c | 627.53$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.94 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked Yes | 28c | 598$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 72c | 528.51$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…df9abacked Yes | 28c | 459$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…9913backed No | 72c | 446$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Yes | 28c | 443$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…2f00backed No | 80c | 435$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 5c | 383.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…5adcbacked No | 77c | 351.9$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…19ffbacked No | 72c | 340$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 28c | 339.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…8420backed Yes | 28c | 333$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14febacked No | 72c | 313$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 71c | 299.71$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 289.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 71c | 287.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…3affbacked No | 72c | 268$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked No | 72c | 258$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…2e42backed No | 72c | 227$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…0c04backed No | 72c | 216$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 28c | 200.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb20…013ebacked No | 72c | 195$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…e999backed No | 72c | 191$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 153.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 28c | 141.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…7cefbacked No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 10c | 116.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked No | 72c | 115.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 10c | 112.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 32c | 111.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 29c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 72c | 101.85$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…5dc5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Yes | 28c | 89.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 71c | 60.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 70c | 52.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 47.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 72c | 46.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.