NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8c6ac879ba41fa221615ffde87b997e9c0a430ddf8193eda4a1532670fe7d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $484,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Canadiens | 47c | 234,137$109,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,157.15 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Penguins | 53c | 155,904$82,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,629.27 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Canadiens | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Penguins | 55c | 21,360$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Canadiens | 47c | 21,293$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,286.17 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…1f3cbacked Penguins | 0c | 20,736$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Penguins | 53c | 18,888$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010.64 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Penguins | 53c | 16,511$8,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 46c | 15,604$7,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,437.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Canadiens | 46c | 10,681$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,761.07 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Penguins | 53c | 9,535$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.23 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 53c | 9,157$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,858.69 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Penguins | 52c | 8,211$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.89 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Canadiens | 62c | 8,200$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,116 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…137dbacked Penguins | 53c | 7,735$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…c1bdbacked Canadiens | 47c | 7,722$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Canadiens | 71c | 6,956$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.51 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canadiens | 44c | 6,579$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Penguins | 53c | 5,936$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.08 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Penguins | 52c | 5,555$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Penguins | 54c | 5,300$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 53c | 4,995$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.31 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8c…7fcfbacked Penguins | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 54c | 4,627$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.17 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penguins | 54c | 4,538$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.38 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Canadiens | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.08 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 53c | 4,236$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.08 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Penguins | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 54c | 3,966$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.79 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Penguins | 53c | 3,933$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.17 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…754bbacked Penguins | 55c | 3,892$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.71 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 30c | 3,867$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.04 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Penguins | 54c | 3,413$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Penguins | 35c | 3,305$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.75 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 46c | 3,182$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.54 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 47c | 2,800$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 16c | 2,776$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,700$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Penguins | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Penguins | 1c | 2,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 53c | 2,092$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.72 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 2,023$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Penguins | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Penguins | 53c | 1,850$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.61 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Penguins | 55c | 1,831$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Penguins | 54c | 1,810$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Canadiens | 46c | 1,810$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Penguins | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Penguins | 36c | 1,767$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.36 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 47c | 1,544$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.54 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Penguins | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Penguins | 7c | 1,498$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.75 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Penguins | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Penguins | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Penguins | 47c | 1,243$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.08 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 10c | 1,107$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 46c | 1,086$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.61 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Penguins | 48c | 1,040$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7330…ea0abacked Penguins | 2c | 1,035$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Canadiens | 45c | 933.71$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.54 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 37c | 886.83$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Penguins | 54c | 851.22$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.66 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Penguins | 54c | 830$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Canadiens | 47c | 822.49$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.49 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Penguins | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 33c | 783.17$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Penguins | 20c | 734.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Canadiens | 46c | 721.74$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.74 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Canadiens | 47c | 656.48$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.93 | 288 | 53.1%153 W · 135 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Canadiens | 60c | 641.34$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.54 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Penguins | 52c | 560$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Penguins | 8c | 555$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Penguins | 53c | 553.96$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…afaabacked Penguins | 53c | 546.89$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…090bbacked Canadiens | 49c | 546.67$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Canadiens | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Canadiens | 47c | 525.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.46 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 35c | 504.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Penguins | 53c | 501.32$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.7 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Penguins | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Penguins | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Penguins | 53c | 490$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.7 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Penguins | 54c | 476.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.52 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Canadiens | 66c | 454.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Canadiens | 46c | 436$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Canadiens | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Canadiens | 77c | 415$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Penguins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Penguins | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Penguins | 36c | 362$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Penguins | 54c | 359.26$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Penguins | 35c | 358.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Penguinsthis page
- Canadiens vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.