Champions League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520ff34fb330c1e3506cb9d76dece935247c326bfc9fd40e9815277b15931fd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 3,101$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.25 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,354$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.66 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 35c | 1,759$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.68 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Over | 67c | 1,496$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 67c | 999.03$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.68 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 65c | 515.37$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 34c | 443.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 66c | 393.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.94 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 33c | 235.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 35c | 168.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…8f30backed Over | 66c | 150.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 35c | 143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 66c | 122.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 34c | 118$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 35c | 107.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 68c | 98.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Over | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 67c | 70.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 65c | 61.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 32c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…28d8backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Over | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…a3a6backed Over | 73c | 41.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…30f0backed Over | 65c | 30.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…7e15backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 73c | 29.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Over | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Over | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd466…599bbacked Over | 77c | 24.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…dae3backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.