TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under61c6,228$3,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.9958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Over40c3,695$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.15955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c2,330$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.861,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over37c1,784$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6607065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Under46c1,375$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.54619.6%9 W · 37 L-9.9wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over45c1,031$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4412354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over42c804.64$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.92152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Under54c684$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.164746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x833a…5d74backed Over35c600$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over35c544.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5438343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c542.37$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.081,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2415252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under60c483$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.24254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under61c444$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1618950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Under61c439.36$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.353135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over40c360$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445339.6%21 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under60c354.39$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9739746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under67c339.51$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.837544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Over40c330$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over39c320.51$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over39c281.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over40c280$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c270.87$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3833851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over40c251.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.461258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0594…6d4dbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under57c242.56$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7721745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over45c202.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over40c201.4$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.561520%3 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over39c200.18$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.474535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c193.49$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6d4…08d0backed Over40c180$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721275%9 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under61c160.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2310744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over39c151.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…0e18backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over41c123$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over41c122.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014145.4%64 W · 77 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under60c100.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.119344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45fb…1289backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Under61c84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under61c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over67c81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2734342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over39c75.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303828.9%11 W · 27 L-10.8wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-51.3%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under61c69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over40c66.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.75358.5%31 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255459.3%32 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5833…a3a6backed Over64c64.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Over40c59.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.811741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07c2…d895backed Over40c50.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88d7…5253backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+182.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x330d…790ebacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c4e…3725backed Over40c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…8a2dbacked Over39c44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over40c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Under61c41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8221744.7%97 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Over39c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…9d56backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Over41c31.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.954744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.24459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1234449.7%171 W · 173 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5017…4daebacked Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Over39c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over39c27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106666.7%44 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…142abacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2394…9312backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…a24abacked Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38d7…138cbacked Over46c23.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.