CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Mindfreak (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5335366c1eb689e3f5524c3aee9546dec654de7e118264c7e8fee63be8c621e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zeroof Ground Zero, Mindfreak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Mindfreak | 30c | 1,977$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Mindfreak | 1c | 1,336$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Mindfreak | 39c | 1,325$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.04 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mindfreak | 30c | 1,013$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Ground Zero | 55c | 973.65$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.65 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mindfreak | 32c | 646.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…2034backed Ground Zero | 71c | 518.12$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak | 42c | 434.13$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mindfreak | 19c | 415.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Ground Zero | 48c | 335.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Ground Zero | 78c | 298.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Mindfreak | 24c | 276$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mindfreak | 29c | 270.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Mindfreak | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Mindfreak | 18c | 235.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Mindfreak | 21c | 195.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Ground Zero | 79c | 146.29$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Ground Zero | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Ground Zero | 75c | 122.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Mindfreak | 15c | 116.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdf…9424backed Mindfreak | 18c | 110.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed Ground Zero | 49c | 100.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Ground Zero | 60c | 100.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mindfreak | 28c | 87.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mindfreak | 36c | 83.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Ground Zero | 61c | 79.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…7a09backed Ground Zero | 67c | 76.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Mindfreak | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Mindfreak | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Ground Zero | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed Ground Zero | 46c | 61.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Mindfreak | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mindfreak | 38c | 47.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mindfreak | 34c | 44.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Ground Zero | 39c | 37.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Ground Zero | 33c | 33.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Mindfreak | 76c | 32.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Ground Zero | 61c | 31.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Ground Zero | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Ground Zero | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Ground Zero | 73c | 24.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…14e9backed Ground Zero | 68c | 21.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Ground Zero | 78c | 21.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…6614backed Mindfreak | 53c | 20.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…a35cbacked Ground Zero | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Ground Zero | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…5a1ebacked Ground Zero | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Mindfreak | 62c | 17.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Mindfreak (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Mindfreak - Map 1 WinnerMindfreak won
- Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Mindfreak - Map 2 WinnerGround Zero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.