Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a454b5c380a4fef58c07544706ff11115459a0f4f7c56bc3567bfa15f3bc94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 26c | 36,574$9,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464.87 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Yes | 0c | 23,781$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 4,765$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.75 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 4,199$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 4,064$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.64 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 3,533$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.52 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 2,326$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.17 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 2,266$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.32 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,302$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 1,135$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.16 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 74c | 1,020$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 30c | 726.56$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 711.11$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.65 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 634.1$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 14c | 569.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 470.8$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 21c | 429.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 75c | 409.86$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 25c | 399.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 384.12$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 74c | 350$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 7c | 339.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 49c | 338.7$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 313.6$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 302.32$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 77c | 271.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…ade3backed No | 73c | 261.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…82b2backed Yes | 27c | 261$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 24c | 255.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…2c0cbacked Yes | 5c | 216.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 44c | 210.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…95f0backed Yes | 27c | 205.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437f…38f0backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 27c | 149.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…d7ecbacked No | 76c | 143.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed No | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 76c | 132.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 81 | 63%51 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 26c | 126.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 72c | 117.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 74c | 112$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 106.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…3b0cbacked Yes | 13c | 103.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…1583backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 99.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 74c | 96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 26c | 93.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 27c | 90.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 90.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 84.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 26c | 81.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 25c | 81.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
- Will United States win on 2026-03-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.