Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff2c83ca618488981dc00709ead8557bbbd94fcde7536a80ad3a18160fea406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 70c | 11,990$8,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.64 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 32c | 6,025$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.89 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 5,686$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.71 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.99 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 3,344$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.36 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 2,098$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.52 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 32c | 2,056$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.05 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 32c | 2,048$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 67c | 1,738$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.63 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 1,728$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.19 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 33c | 1,494$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 1,481$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 33c | 1,466$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.59 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…f2d6backed No | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 1,438$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,401$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 31c | 1,326$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,238$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 1,051$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.74 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 24c | 973.35$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.13 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…5ea1backed Yes | 33c | 912.03$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.97 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 50c | 860$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 33c | 791.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…f493backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 73c | 688.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 30c | 688.76$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.58 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 607.83$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 578.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 577.5$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 528.21$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 38c | 524.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 519.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 79c | 515.71$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 32c | 506.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 493.93$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 32c | 493.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes | 32c | 478.3$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 28c | 449.95$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 32c | 382.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 28c | 377.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 32c | 374.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 32c | 370.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 7c | 362.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 68c | 351$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 38c | 350$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 72c | 342.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…814fbacked Yes | 32c | 328.13$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 47c | 322.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 317.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Yes | 32c | 309.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…6b1fbacked Yes | 32c | 305.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 31c | 303.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 32c | 286.75$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 286.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked No | 17c | 267$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 31c | 254.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 214.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…da59backed No | 69c | 200.96$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 195.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed No | 52c | 186.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed No | 72c | 186.46$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 184.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 69c | 183.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…e9bebacked Yes | 44c | 183.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Yes | 24c | 175.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…00ccbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 30c | 166.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…bc84backed No | 78c | 164.96$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…0d4abacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Yes | 32c | 155.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…bf42backed Yes | 32c | 155.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…3b03backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 31c | 149.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 72c | 139.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 74c | 134.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 130.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 71c | 129.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 128.17$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 33c | 119.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 68c | 119$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf51…4269backed Yes | 33c | 102$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3c…30ddbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…3c0abacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 69c | 97.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 54c | 94.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f7…1989backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 31c | 92.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Yes | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States win on 2026-03-28?this page
- Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?Yes won
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.