Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b984d11efdf5e9fdcac3015219a5b25bfc4ec41073f20753957a82381b97213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 12,758$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 13c | 9,806$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.84 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…434cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,884$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 14c | 1,506$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 1,261$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5161…bf33backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Yes | 15c | 653.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…c587backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa011…c40bbacked Yes | 15c | 560.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 12c | 462.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 16c | 444.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x446c…2d64backed Yes | 14c | 414.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 15c | 401.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…dcaabacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 17c | 268.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684f…cef7backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 15c | 193.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes | 13c | 183.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…91a8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…52e2backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf37…dafbbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 14c | 140.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 14c | 137.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…a857backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…3deabacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…538fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…dc5fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…b8c1backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4ca6backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 14c | 91.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…8e05backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ae…c118backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.