Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa485b580e18b6a4450d7ab87bbd579c1f7f53bcdca5e4e155193f683856e0dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 18,619$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 7,014$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.24 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 18c | 3,485$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.49 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…fb9ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,877$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Yes | 22c | 999.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6897backed Yes | 31c | 967.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867f…9ae3backed Yes | 10c | 723.74$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed No | 70c | 715.94$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 6c | 685.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 5c | 665.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 18c | 606.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 507.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Yes | 6c | 504.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 202 | 24.3%49 W · 153 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 8c | 336$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…7f97backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…5c13backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 5c | 300.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff1…e743backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 11c | 272.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…ca6cbacked Yes | 7c | 267.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 25c | 258.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…400fbacked Yes | 17c | 252.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 6c | 252.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…e21bbacked Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 268 | 36.9%99 W · 169 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…3c74backed Yes | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…2d93backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…c9abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…c228backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…f3c9backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f687backed Yes | 6c | 170.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…bd53backed Yes | 13c | 170.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 18c | 112.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…2658backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…9940backed Yes | 17c | 102.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Yes | 18c | 102.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ba5abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 14c | 90.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…be44backed Yes | 17c | 87.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 14c | 74.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 26c | 72.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…f60cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…e396backed Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 71c | 14.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.