Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d5070a73cf9a28a06c61e4a351f20226ee5546f8880fb073df81cc87f35f7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 27,217$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 5c | 4,185$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.57 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5816backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,926$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…be88backed Yes | 5c | 1,926$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 4c | 1,924$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 12c | 1,623$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,518$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,211$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 1,160$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 13c | 1,116$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,022$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes | 11c | 999.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 13c | 781.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…f2d9backed Yes | 13c | 727.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 6c | 655.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 318 | 9.4%30 W · 288 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 5c | 580$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 14c | 563.21$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 12c | 458.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 11c | 435.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…7f97backed Yes | 5c | 386.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 15c | 342.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 305.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…2b88backed Yes | 12c | 264.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…3778backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…390dbacked Yes | 5c | 217.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 11c | 201.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0220…91a8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…439abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes | 13c | 194.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Yes | 11c | 170.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 13c | 150.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes | 12c | 127.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 13c | 117.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a0…4309backed Yes | 13c | 107.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…9940backed Yes | 13c | 102.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69d…7678backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…02f2backed Yes | 12c | 95.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…b52bbacked Yes | 12c | 86.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…ee06backed Yes | 13c | 78.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.