TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,795

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,180 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c16,819$683 inLost-$682.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes7c6,048$423 inLost-$422.922229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes8c6,000$450 inLost-$449.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes8c2,503$200 inLost-$200.2324616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes7c1,963$137 inLost-$137.38719.9%7 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes7c1,029$72 inLost-$7222652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes6c999.97$60 inLost-$6012831.3%40 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c866.2$68 inLost-$67.651,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes7c739.43$52 inLost-$51.7611721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes6c637.81$38 inLost-$38.2715742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes8c625$50 inLost-$5014531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes8c625$50 inLost-$5012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4f…7852backed Yes3c542.86$15 inLost-$155425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2024…cf1bbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost-$305444.4%24 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Yes8c375$30 inLost-$3010530.5%32 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes6c338.76$21 inLost-$21.371,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7257…64c7backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes4c257.73$10 inLost-$10.3150833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fc…f687backed Yes6c253$15 inLost-$15.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost-$2052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6290…d7c1backed Yes8c250$20 inLost-$2014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes7c225.66$16 inLost-$15.81,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12de…bb0fbacked Yes7c219.64$16 inLost-$165429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes8c162.5$13 inLost-$13329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da9…453fbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1012028.3%34 W · 86 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Yes8c125$10 inLost-$1018340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.