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Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,436
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,436 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes3c16,093$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c12,314$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes5c5,373$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.191,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes2c3,200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.637350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes2c2,182$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.651,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes1c2,092$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012430.6%38 W · 86 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes5c1,532$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.13719.9%7 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f7…c709backed Yes9c818.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes15c808.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0763544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes11c753.2$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0298134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b7…448bbacked Yes13c750.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fed…c228backed Yes7c738.57$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516529.2%19 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes15c650.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009939.4%39 W · 60 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes10c510.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Yes13c499.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9818…68e1backed Yes2c488.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4129…4dc9backed Yes2c487.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%0 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb37b…3345backed Yes13c412.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555827.6%16 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes11c366.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403928.2%11 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes3c357.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107744.2%34 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes15c343.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011828.8%34 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Yes10c308$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4217732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes10c215.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba9…bdfbbacked Yes10c206.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f1…da32backed Yes10c192.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes9c186.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1760821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Yes10c181.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddcf…cbf5backed Yes9c163.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153225%8 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d80…367cbacked Yes9c158.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511818.6%22 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…2f2bbacked Yes13c151.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes12c125.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14af…02f2backed Yes9c118.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Yes11c101.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116753.7%36 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.