Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa6886669196840b872962d62a0143112138dd5ccb8155393dd98f069c2326d

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $149,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $155,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,923 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	27,427$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139.91	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes	8c	13,259$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,014.43	123	25.2%31 W · 92 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	8c	10,057$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	7c	4,220$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.29	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes	8c	3,678$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	163	19.6%32 W · 131 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Yes	8c	3,238$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.89	222	47.7%106 W · 116 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	8c	2,243$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.06	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes	7c	2,042$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.32	55	18.2%10 W · 45 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes	7c	1,915$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.61	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	+8.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes	8c	1,776$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	351	10.8%38 W · 313 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes	8c	1,282$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes	8c	1,240$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.37	290	17.6%51 W · 239 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	7c	1,231$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.63	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6694…ea6fbacked Yes	8c	1,216$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.49	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes	8c	1,200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.45	288	8%23 W · 265 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	8c	1,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	8c	855.79$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Yes	7c	792$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.86	177	32.2%57 W · 120 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes	7c	748.16$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	212	26.9%57 W · 155 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	7c	721.87$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed Yes	8c	657.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99b7…fd89backed Yes	8c	609.76$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	7c	596.97$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.19	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4df…c173backed Yes	8c	467.06$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Yes	7c	405.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	189	36%68 W · 121 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes	5c	399.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	231	42.4%98 W · 133 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	8c	383.12$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8621…ecdbbacked Yes	7c	369$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4930…0badbacked Yes	8c	324.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes	9c	320.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…fbb5backed Yes	8c	256.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-8.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	148	31.8%47 W · 101 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d67…4956backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	7c	232.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.97	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes	7c	205.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	15.7%11 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a27…cc88backed Yes	8c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bde…5e6cbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9732…5f8bbacked Yes	8c	194.81$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes	8c	192.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	193	24.4%47 W · 146 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes	8c	191.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f4…2ccfbacked Yes	8c	189.87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	27	3.7%1 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	10cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c21…a6f5backed Yes	8c	178.57$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	152	28.3%43 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Yes	8c	165.26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	144	40.3%58 W · 86 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…4d6dbacked Yes	8c	157.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae63…9dcdbacked Yes	8c	157.89$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd232…b817backed Yes	8c	142$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8855…0557backed Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.27	86	9.3%8 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cd…0558backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	93	18.3%17 W · 76 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5c…d8debacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	63	11.1%7 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt?Yes won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 3 Egypt?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 Egypt?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event