Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea3ff15f31b7ee5a4c451ed2d0db69c53d19c7fc6699393536ceaad2f402ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 5,287$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.37 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 3,750$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.53 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 3,200$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.99 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 73c | 2,300$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 1,210$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 891.92$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.71 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 26c | 624.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 590.59$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 35c | 571.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 562.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 558.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 520.9$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.27 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 450.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 4c | 290.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 18c | 281.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 272.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 269$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 238$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 20c | 235.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…3577backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 74c | 166$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 128$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 79c | 123.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 116.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 114.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…6958backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 22c | 99.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 72.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 65.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 22c | 60.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…0769backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 74c | 53.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4e…5c01backed No | 76c | 41.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked No | 70c | 36.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 80c | 30.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 74c | 21.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 74c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.