Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a8b723ec292f265f08d7e485a9cbc34bb50b74542090b958d12f01c0ca5cda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 76c | 6,000$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.28 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 2,730$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed No | 77c | 1,338$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 24c | 923.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 12c | 816.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 811.69$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 586.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 572.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 474.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Yes | 26c | 447.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 23c | 434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 22c | 427.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 23c | 416$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Yes | 6c | 302.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 13c | 286.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 23c | 251$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 24c | 222.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 13c | 195.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 25c | 193$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 187.58$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 24c | 185.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 7c | 176.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 173$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 76c | 151.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 23c | 137.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 16c | 133.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 24c | 117.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 22c | 116$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7161backed Yes | 17c | 114.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…c1acbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 88.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 13c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b10…2920backed No | 78c | 70.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 62.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 80c | 62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 24c | 61.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 18c | 60.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 23c | 48.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…d3b5backed No | 77c | 29.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 77c | 28.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 77c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 75c | 15.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-08-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.