TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Stanford Cardinal

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stanford Cardinalof Minnesota Golden Gophers, Stanford Cardinal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Minnesota Golden Gophers50c11,522$5,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,738.6236944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal51c3,882$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.862,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stanford Cardinal52c3,398$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.325130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Stanford Cardinal55c3,147$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.691,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stanford Cardinal73c2,464$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.151,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Minnesota Golden Gophers35c2,038$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.3155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Minnesota Golden Gophers45c1,924$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8662,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Stanford Cardinal48c1,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.676852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers42c1,287$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.015,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Stanford Cardinal54c1,125$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.461662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Stanford Cardinal60c922.15$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0315939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1013…87d5backed Stanford Cardinal59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers44c705.23$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Stanford Cardinal59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Minnesota Golden Gophers44c676.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4862…1a17backed Minnesota Golden Gophers16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Minnesota Golden Gophers23c580$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321157%8 W · 107 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x468a…b2fdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers10c547.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Minnesota Golden Gophers37c537.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stanford Cardinal56c514.77$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.59641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7b…edecbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers27c490.59$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers38c449.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers55c428.53$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers42c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1665137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Stanford Cardinal68c346$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.722568%17 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Stanford Cardinal56c343.24$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0216341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal48c304$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.083,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1161…3aa8backed Minnesota Golden Gophers68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers38c260$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Minnesota Golden Gophers53c256$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.686443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stanford Cardinal80c245.31$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.965,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Minnesota Golden Gophers42c239.89$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5449043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers42c207.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.352928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Minnesota Golden Gophers37c204.08$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.84037.5%15 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8212254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stanford Cardinal47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Stanford Cardinal57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Stanford Cardinal48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1047864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64f…3577backed Minnesota Golden Gophers6c186.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…63d4backed Minnesota Golden Gophers43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Stanford Cardinal65c185.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers9c169.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.731,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers41c148.45$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Minnesota Golden Gophers26c120$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.67954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Stanford Cardinal48c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.541353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+70%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Minnesota Golden Gophers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.942,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Stanford Cardinal56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Stanford Cardinal47c97.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5914035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…0329backed Minnesota Golden Gophers22c97.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.582630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfc4…118ebacked Minnesota Golden Gophers23c87.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…6af3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7122…c968backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c71.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ef…5a04backed Stanford Cardinal59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc233…93a5backed Stanford Cardinal59c64.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Minnesota Golden Gophers30c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.447660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers34c59.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Minnesota Golden Gophers45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers18c55.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf61…8633backed Stanford Cardinal59c50.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Stanford Cardinal53c50.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9732337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e2…01f2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Minnesota Golden Gophers32c46.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers24c42.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae68…a807backed Minnesota Golden Gophers29c39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick14cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Stanford Cardinal49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Minnesota Golden Gophers42c28.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.878350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Minnesota Golden Gophers43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3221455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb84…81b2backed Minnesota Golden Gophers70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Stanford Cardinal57c20.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.956355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc319…9454backed Stanford Cardinal53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.42458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ef…a7a4backed Stanford Cardinal58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab2…7e7cbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers65c18.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.