MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f7f0dc7ff5d2db6f9579436a7fccf91b493d7167d9952265dda9cc21c20c039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Twins, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 42c | 57,591$24,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,302.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 57c | 48,862$27,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,786.78 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Twins | 56c | 29,202$16,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,301.78 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Marlins | 44c | 22,982$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,870.13 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Twins | 57c | 14,404$8,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,210.26 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…5e70backed Twins | 57c | 9,998$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…0931backed Marlins | 43c | 9,997$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,698.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 30c | 8,935$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 50c | 5,253$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins | 48c | 4,862$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.49 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 43c | 4,550$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.37 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Twins | 55c | 3,576$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.46 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Twins | 57c | 3,369$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.37 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Marlins | 42c | 2,700$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Twins | 53c | 2,688$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.56 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Twins | 57c | 2,675$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.96 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Marlins | 65c | 2,467$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.03 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Marlins | 46c | 2,153$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 29c | 2,139$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.45 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Marlins | 45c | 2,120$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Marlins | 67c | 2,100$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Twins | 51c | 2,056$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.49 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a83fbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…500dbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 36c | 1,826$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe951…8df2backed Marlins | 43c | 1,655$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Marlins | 43c | 1,548$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…9bcebacked Marlins | 43c | 1,394$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 15c | 1,291$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Twins | 15c | 1,231$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Twins | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…de4fbacked Twins | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Marlins | 45c | 1,062$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…d78fbacked Twins | 57c | 1,061$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…a6b9backed Marlins | 43c | 1,040$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Twins | 37c | 1,039$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…79d5backed Twins | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Twins | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Twins | 56c | 990.01$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…886fbacked Marlins | 43c | 960$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 65c | 944.44$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…cd74backed Twins | 57c | 939$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 43c | 924.05$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.12 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…d685backed Twins | 57c | 895$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…ddeabacked Twins | 57c | 895$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…9223backed Marlins | 45c | 894.24$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…ce10backed Marlins | 46c | 870.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Twins | 57c | 865.5$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.33 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 44c | 830$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 43c | 785.56$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.19 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Marlins | 70c | 759$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Twins | 56c | 724.64$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.8 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…17febacked Twins | 29c | 696.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Marlins | 45c | 681.07$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.59 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 55c | 583.47$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.61 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4280backed Marlins | 45c | 581.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Twins | 57c | 523.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…1b54backed Twins | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 60c | 495.83$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 60c | 480$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Twins | 51c | 468.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.03 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Marlins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Twins | 58c | 445.04$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.45 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Marlins | 44c | 370.85$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Marlins | 67c | 368.36$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 6c | 354.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 56c | 341.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Marlins | 45c | 336.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Twins | 21c | 307.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Marlins | 80c | 283.11$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 70c | 251.53$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Twins | 55c | 240$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Twins | 30c | 228.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 56c | 228$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Twins | 36c | 226.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Twins | 42c | 226.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Marlins | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Marlins | 49c | 220.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697b…0d4ebacked Marlins | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Twins | 31c | 217.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 57c | 216.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Twins | 47c | 212.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61dc…f77bbacked Marlins | 57c | 191.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Twins | 39c | 190$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.