TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,960,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,752,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,960,563 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes0c749,026$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes44c254,670$110,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,914.795527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes17c148,240$25,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,2462512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes48c54,922$26,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,383.823455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bbe…2cf3backed No79c31,881$25,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,814.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Yes14c28,775$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,025.41931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Yes49c26,699$13,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,040.531020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes14c25,440$3,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,460.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+140.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes58c23,211$13,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,489.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No51c20,267$10,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,894.711450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No43c18,761$8,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,638.022924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No51c16,216$8,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,919.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes49c14,971$7,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,316.7641554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247f…ff45backed Yes5c13,729$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes10c12,756$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.284250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed No51c9,116$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.5410236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7804…7025backed No51c8,730$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes10c6,192$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.883993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes52c6,170$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.891,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes11c6,103$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.021369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes13c5,894$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.932330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743b…3b7cbacked Yes16c5,846$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Yes15c5,429$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes15c5,378$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Yes11c5,318$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes12c5,073$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.498232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes15c5,046$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.01224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-93.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb843…1b3fbacked Yes49c4,932$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes12c4,883$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.17616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-67.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes14c4,386$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.127936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Yes44c4,061$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.06825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes49c4,000$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+117.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b3…57adbacked Yes16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes48c3,100$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,475.68644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5d…cc80backed Yes18c2,886$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…42c1backed Yes9c2,855$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-65.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Yes1c2,605$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+97.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Yes12c2,348$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2480%0 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes9c2,322$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.999444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2e…bbefbacked Yes14c2,144$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+67.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No53c2,011$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.531,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79c6…bbc3backed Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes12c1,891$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.466923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed No51c1,852$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.553943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Yes15c1,563$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.561428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No51c1,560$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.47021.4%15 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes14c1,511$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.176934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5e…d8e6backed Yes49c1,333$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes11c1,326$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.413619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Yes12c1,306$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Yes12c1,300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.662152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes7c1,285$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.414522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3be6…90f3backed Yes16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes13c1,249$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.373745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Yes11c1,141$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7e…8a48backed Yes54c1,100$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Yes11c1,038$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.383357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes48c1,031$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes43c1,030$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.182227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x542c…f12bbacked No39c1,020$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.621154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c26…9a9bbacked Yes2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4904100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1615…a6afbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c00…5d94backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid-76.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes15c982.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Yes14c975.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes15c900$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0167…0d88backed Yes46c870.85$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No74c865.87$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.972,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Yes16c856.25$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155a…f515backed No51c843$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf215…9114backed Yes16c797.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.45425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Yes40c769.92$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…7044backed Yes19c736.2$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes12c727.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.742429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes14c715.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-88.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes13c679.17$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.452222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0d…b8f7backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Yes13c639.42$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe04…9a42backed Yes14c629.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.411225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…ee9ebacked Yes12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No35c602.01$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.311,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked Yes11c600$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b06…0b42backed No52c591$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc178…35b3backed No53c566$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes14c566$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd13…a813backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.