TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Gonzaga win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,664
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,664 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x067f…e041backed Yes2c30,000$672 inLost-$671.6230139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost-$109839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Yes3c9,576$300 inLost-$300742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes2c8,038$125 inLost-$124.86156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-85.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes1c7,905$108 inLost-$108.1130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2363…b496backed Yes1c7,100$91 inLost-$91.0180%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes2c6,711$116 inLost-$116.37355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-80.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost-$10630%0 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes2c4,598$107 inLost-$107.315527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes0c3,439$13 inLost-$12.663619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Yes2c2,319$37 inLost-$37.11616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-70%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes2c1,895$35 inLost-$35933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes2c1,856$30 inLost-$29.8560551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes2c1,718$28 inLost-$27.83122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes2c1,612$40 inLost-$4018129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Yes2c1,500$28 inLost-$27.612231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes2c1,298$22 inLost-$22.461747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8492…cd90backed Yes2c1,249$21 inLost-$21.3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes2c1,167$19 inLost-$18.63993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes2c1,104$22 inLost-$22.07419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd85c…f69cbacked Yes1c1,000$13 inLost-$12.99333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes2c988.3$18 inLost-$17.58468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…438fbacked Yes2c976.71$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes3c976.23$25 inLost-$255514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbe7…9563backed Yes1c971.47$14 inLost-$13.86540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-46.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes2c589.98$10 inLost-$10.03728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-59.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e4…c598backed Yes3c431.5$11 inLost-$11.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+246.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.