TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$752,090
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$542,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,090 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes1c68,250$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.85560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+110.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes15c58,175$8,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,794.815527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Yes14c35,055$5,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.272222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes12c25,342$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,981.4510236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes13c21,722$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes14c17,131$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,355.962512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Yes13c14,162$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes16c12,023$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.447021.4%15 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes13c11,573$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.088232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes18c11,276$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.682770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes13c11,060$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.757936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes15c8,663$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.792330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes15c8,259$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.891136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes16c6,518$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.2710429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes14c5,310$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.861369.6%13 W · 123 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Yes14c5,292$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.142454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x340f…3cf5backed Yes13c5,029$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.3520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes20c5,000$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.586127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes16c4,796$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick18cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes11c4,222$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.424250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes16c4,157$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.0870%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes13c3,846$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.826923.2%16 W · 53 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-49.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes18c3,560$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes14c3,238$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes11c3,013$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.263993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes10c2,804$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.693619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes13c2,800$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9913936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b8e…014bbacked Yes16c2,258$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes19c2,187$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Yes14c2,150$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes14c1,965$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.176934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes15c1,895$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.56224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-93.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0d…9ff3backed Yes14c1,858$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e5…930bbacked Yes22c1,741$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes16c1,546$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.439444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab5…4bd2backed Yes14c1,440$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes19c1,406$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.13837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed01…c344backed Yes12c1,373$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes11c1,349$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.35419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes12c1,336$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.785543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcef…c76dbacked Yes22c1,231$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0c5…e717backed Yes14c1,142$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0c…a550backed Yes14c1,121$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Yes12c1,045$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7794…8df9backed Yes13c1,013$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…d08cbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes16c880.93$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1760551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Yes8c842.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692020%4 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019b…2d2ebacked Yes21c834.15$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes18c831.67$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes17c807.76$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.261747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8905…480ebacked Yes14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes18c788.25$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.784045%18 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No76c737$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes14c700$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76c4…bbc5backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes13c623.98$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes18c527.07$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.393122.6%7 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371f…f382backed Yes21c510.04$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2397…8eb2backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes15c497$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.32468.7%4 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f4…5017backed Yes22c439$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes16c420.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.282429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes18c410.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b0…d4d1backed Yes23c406.35$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e6…1c52backed Yes17c404$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.279658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes19c402.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d7…4355backed Yes20c374.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1036…7defbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b0…867ebacked Yes16c313.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes18c308.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5134842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14a2…e231backed Yes15c306.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff5…eb2fbacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4116…779dbacked Yes15c299.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Yes17c291.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x855a…678bbacked No79c284$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes14c266.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.231747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3f…5960backed Yes20c249$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9635…5ec7backed Yes20c240$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes16c237.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x428e…f4a3backed Yes20c237$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…233cbacked No79c232$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dd…b15bbacked Yes21c222$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-54.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes13c221.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d63…e00abacked Yes20c211$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb2…5d1bbacked Yes21c208.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73c…c256backed Yes21c202$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes19c200.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0230649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…f0b2backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303348.5%16 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79e3…663dbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 62. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.