Middle East · resolved market
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2158d1f83118f06d7399d5000e9c44f317eb8a0801a6f588d261bf2cf2310445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,449,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,348,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,449,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked No | 0c | 707,441$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 3c | 610,277$15,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,538.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 2c | 316,302$6,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,004.18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…9165backed No | 0c | 289,530$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf7…a964backed No | 0c | 240,401$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…025fbacked No | 0c | 220,285$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 209,425$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.17 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992d…0569backed No | 0c | 202,000$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 6c | 158,814$10,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,129.96 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed No | 1c | 137,872$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…e569backed No | 0c | 137,205$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…4326backed No | 0c | 135,310$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked No | 7c | 128,947$9,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,629.41 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…3932backed No | 1c | 127,656$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…154bbacked No | 7c | 121,942$9,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,132.23 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed No | 5c | 121,210$6,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,416 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…1eecbacked No | 1c | 115,337$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…05b5backed No | 1c | 112,375$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…fb30backed No | 0c | 111,040$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked No | 39c | 108,378$42,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,440.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…a3babacked No | 2c | 107,615$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05a…34cfbacked No | 0c | 103,846$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33d…f348backed No | 1c | 102,974$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed No | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6c…c1ecbacked No | 0c | 96,782$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa180…100fbacked No | 0c | 93,005$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…a538backed No | 3c | 92,051$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked No | 1c | 90,000$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…7c93backed No | 2c | 89,184$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…5620backed No | 0c | 85,270$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7c…511abacked No | 0c | 81,917$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…43aebacked No | 1c | 81,445$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 77,489$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed No | 7c | 76,461$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…10f7backed No | 6c | 75,477$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked No | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 0%0 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9c…92f2backed No | 1c | 72,065$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce4…537bbacked No | 0c | 71,031$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c3…dbbfbacked No | 1c | 70,747$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 7c | 69,450$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed No | 1c | 68,967$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…aa00backed No | 0c | 64,803$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…fe0fbacked No | 0c | 62,167$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0c…1c96backed No | 0c | 60,994$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970b…061ebacked No | 1c | 59,634$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 2c | 58,729$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31aa…c867backed No | 15c | 54,006$8,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…b5d4backed No | 0c | 52,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…506bbacked No | 5c | 50,792$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…bf10backed No | 0c | 50,642$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…7ba1backed No | 6c | 45,973$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…7db6backed No | 1c | 42,228$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.79 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…28ddbacked No | 1c | 41,108$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 6c | 40,479$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.33 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…4f60backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…d7b0backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…994bbacked No | 0c | 39,549$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 6c | 39,297$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.13 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf7…ad70backed No | 2c | 38,417$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked No | 0c | 37,592$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…086bbacked No | 3c | 36,844$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…be16backed No | 0c | 35,834$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…b0debacked No | 0c | 35,809$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…89efbacked No | 1c | 35,069$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 23c | 34,516$7,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,998.94 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…0d16backed No | 1c | 33,855$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…ad34backed No | 2c | 32,961$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…88b9backed No | 2c | 32,332$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…7517backed No | 7c | 31,588$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed No | 6c | 31,388$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.69 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 22c | 31,265$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…50ddbacked No | 0c | 31,127$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…5390backed No | 1c | 30,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked Yes | 78c | 30,000$23,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,690 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…e078backed No | 19c | 29,664$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…4ecdbacked No | 1c | 29,293$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 24c | 27,998$6,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,635.53 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 1c | 27,844$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.44 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe7…6f46backed No | 0c | 27,600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…0a87backed No | 7c | 27,255$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c2…1d52backed No | 0c | 26,500$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…af5cbacked No | 2c | 26,376$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 15c | 26,316$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.5 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…a479backed No | 11c | 25,205$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…7f44backed No | 4c | 24,987$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed No | 8c | 24,842$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…c247backed No | 6c | 24,810$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…ffe9backed No | 4c | 24,626$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d6…5061backed No | 1c | 24,480$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…9474backed No | 0c | 23,978$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…404cbacked No | 7c | 23,957$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…15aebacked No | 25c | 23,574$5,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…55cfbacked No | 3c | 23,501$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60aa…58f7backed No | 1c | 23,324$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…f06cbacked No | 6c | 23,024$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…ac9dbacked No | 0c | 23,013$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…40a0backed No | 3c | 22,971$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.94 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…c0eebacked No | 1c | 22,565$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.